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Puducherry Elections 2026: Top 3 factors that can decide the decision india news

Puducherry Elections 2026: Top 3 factors that can decide the decision

New Delhi: Puducherry is all set to vote on Thursday (April 9) and though the contest may be fought on just 30 seats, the stakes are anything but small. Nearly 9.5 lakh voters will decide the fate of 294 candidates, with even the slightest of margins capable of overturning the result.Here are the 3 key factors shaping this tightly contested election in Puducherry:See complete coverage of Assembly Elections 2026 1. state demandPuducherry’s long-standing demand for full statehood is once again at the center of political debate. while being Chief Minister N Rangasamy And while his All India NR Congress (AINRC), backed by the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), argues that an alliance with the Center ensures smooth governance, the opposition says otherwise. The Congress-DMK faction is projecting this election as a referendum on “lost autonomy”, arguing that despite being part of the “double engine” setup, Puducherry has seen continued friction with the Lieutenant Governor and limited administrative independence.

Election results came last two times in Puducherry.

2. Electricity, prices and welfareEconomic concerns are front and center right now. Protests have started against the proposed privatization of the electricity department and there is a possibility of increase in rates. At the same time, the ruling coalition is relying on welfare, including cash assistance schemes and subsidies, to maintain voter confidence. However, the opposition has focused on rising cost of living, unemployment and lack of quality jobs, which have forced many youth to migrate to cities like Chennai and Bengaluru.

Congress-DMK SWOT

3. Fragmented Competition and Victory FactorIn a small assembly like Puducherry, even a few thousand votes can change the outcome, and this time, the contest is more crowded than usual. Apart from the NDA and the Congress-DMK alliance, actor-turned-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK) has entered the fray, adding a new layer of unpredictability.

nda swot

With multiple parties and independents in the race, the distribution of votes could be decisive. In many constituencies, a third force breaking into the traditional vote banks could overturn the close contest and even increase the chances of a hung assembly.Will the NDA be able to retain its ‘double engine’ rule or will the opposition faction be able to regain power in the Union Territory? Puducherry will decide tomorrow and we will know the decision on May 4.

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Terror network busted: Srinagar Police busts another multi-state Al Falah-type Lashkar network. india news

Srinagar Police busts another multi-state Al Falah-type LeT network

New Delhi: Srinagar Police has busted another multi-state network of Al-Falah type Lashkar-e-Taiba A painstaking, month-long investigation was launched following the arrest of two pakistani terrorist To allegedly receive, guide and arrange logistics for foreign terrorists who infiltrated into Jammu and Kashmir in March, he created a network of Overground Workers (OGWs) not only in kashmir But in other states like Haryana and Rajasthan.Abdullah alias Abu Hurera alias Ahmed, a resident of Kasur, Punjab, Pakistan, who had infiltrated via Gurez in 2010, and Mohammad Usman alias Khubaib, a resident of Lahore and had infiltrated into Baramulla in 2017, were nabbed from Malerkotla, Punjab, a month ago based on human and technical intelligence. Their interrogation revealed a network of OGWs that Hurrera had built in South Kashmir over the past 16 years and Usman in Baramulla since 2017, and which was now being expanded to include towns in Haryana and Rajasthan, especially in madrassas suspected to have links to Pakistan and Lashkar-e-Taiba. Hurrera and Usman, both A-plus category terrorists, who have handled and commanded around 40 foreign terrorists in Jammu and Kashmir over the past few years and were working together since 2023, had traveled to Nuh and Mewat via Delhi at different times.So far, in the searches conducted at 19 places in Jammu and Kashmir, Rajasthan and Haryana, six OGWs have been detained in Haryana, four in Rajasthan and more than a dozen in Jammu and Kashmir. Sources said the aim of the multi-state module was to create a LeT network outside Jammu and Kashmir with the help of Pakistani and LeT contacts; And it is used to establish hideouts for Lashkar-e-Taiba terrorists and ultimately help them exit India with the help of forged documents arranged by the local OGW network. At least one Pakistani terrorist, Rabindranath Tagore, is said to have fled Rajasthan using forged identity and travel documents.The investigation also revealed the funding and financial patterns of LeT.More arrests may be made in the coming days, with investigators not ruling out footprints in more states. NIA is likely to take over this case.

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उत्तराखंड: नैनीताल में देर रात से भारी बारिश, जनजीवन प्रभावित; होटलों में फंसे पर्यटक – कल देर रात नैनीताल में भारी बारिश हुई, जिससे सामान्य जनजीवन अस्त-व्यस्त हो गया; होटलों में फंसे पर्यटक

नैनीताल में देर रात से हो रही भारी बारिश से जनजीवन बुरी तरह प्रभावित हुआ है. सड़कों पर सन्नाटा है और शहर में घना कोहरा छाया हुआ है. इस खराब मौसम के कारण स्थानीय लोगों और पर्यटकों दोनों को दिक्कतों का सामना करना पड़ रहा है.

लगातार हो रही भारी बारिश से स्थानीय लोगों की मुश्किलें बढ़ गई हैं. परिवहन में दिक्कत के कारण दैनिक कार्य भी प्रभावित हुआ है. शहर की मुख्य सड़कें खाली नजर आ रही हैं, जिससे सामान्य यातायात ठप हो गया है. घने कोहरे के कारण विजिबिलिटी भी कम हो गई है, जिससे वाहन चालकों को दिक्कतों का सामना करना पड़ रहा है. पर्यटक भी अपने होटल के कमरों तक ही सीमित रहने को मजबूर हैं। वे बारिश रुकने का बेसब्री से इंतजार कर रहे हैं ताकि वे बाहर जा सकें और शहर का भ्रमण कर सकें।

मौसम का प्रभाव एवं पर्यटकों की स्थिति

बारिश और कोहरे के कारण नैनीताल में मौसम बेहद खराब है. इससे पर्यटकों के घूमने के प्लान पर पानी फिर गया है. होटल व्यवसायी भी पर्यटकों के बाहर न निकल पाने से चिंतित हैं, जिसका असर उनके कारोबार पर पड़ रहा है. स्थानीय प्रशासन ने लोगों से सावधानी बरतने और अनावश्यक यात्रा से बचने की अपील की है.

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“I’m afraid of them”: Twitch streamer FanFan faces backlash over viral comments on gay people

"i'm afraid of them": Twitch streamer FanFan faces backlash over viral comments on gay people
Twitch streamer Fiona “FanFan” has faced criticism after a viral clip appeared to show her joking about being “afraid” of gay people. While some fans defended her tone, calling it sarcastic, others called it insensitive. The controversy has reignited debate over the streamer’s accountability, especially as his past comments, including those regarding Kai Sennett, have resurfaced.

Twitch streamer Fiona’s “FanFan” is trending once again, but not for the reasons she might have expected. A recent livestream clip has drawn her into a heated online debate after she made comments about gay people that many viewers found uncomfortable, even though she was joking. Known for her unfiltered personality, FanFan has built a loyal following by saying things that others might avoid. However, this time the same spontaneity has given rise to a serious reaction.The clip quickly went viral and received views and comments on multiple platforms within hours. Some fans immediately came to her defense and said it was just ridiculous. Others disagreed, saying that jokes can also go too far. The moment has quickly turned into a larger discussion about what streamers say in live shows and how much responsibility they have when they’re in front of a lot of people.

What FanFan Really Said and Why People Are Divided Over It

The moment in question came during an April 5 stream when a viewer accused him of hating gay people. Fanfan responded with a mixture of laughter and sarcasm, saying:“No, I don’t hate gay people… Hate is a strong word… I hate them. I’m afraid of them.”He later added further context, saying:“(‘You hate gay people,’ one viewer said) No, I don’t hate gay people! I don’t hate gay people, I just… I don’t hate them, hate is a strong word. I hate them (laughs). I’m kidding! I’m just afraid of them (laughs). I don’t hate them.”Some people could tell by her tone that she was not serious. He said that his general style is often strange or extremely funny. But some people were not convinced. He said that even if it was meant as a joke, the words could still come across as rude.People have criticized Fanfan before also. He previously received a lot of attention in a segment with Kai Sennett and Sean “Diddy” Combs, which was widely debated online. Some critics say this new clip seems to be part of a pattern rather than a one-time thing.The nature of livestreaming is at the heart of it all. You can’t go back and change anything, and once a sentence is out you don’t have time to think about it again. That raw, immediate style is what makes streaming real. But it also means that every word matters.

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Kerala Elections 2026: 5 factors that may decide the decision india news

Kerala Elections 2026: 5 factors that may decide the decision
Kerala Assembly Elections 2026 Voting Date: The results of the 2026 Kerala elections will be declared on May 4, 2026.

New Delhi: This time the story of Kerala is not the same. As the state prepares to vote for 140 assembly seats tomorrow (April 9), it is no longer the old “change government every five years” story. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is seeking the chief minister’s post for the third consecutive term Pinarayi VijayanWhile the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is trying to regain power.Here are the top 5 factors to note that could decide the May 4 decision:See complete coverage of Assembly Elections 20261. Vijayan Factor CM Pinarayi Vijayan is trying to create a record for the third consecutive time, but even after being in power for 10 years, the path is not easy.Vijayan remains LDF’s biggest asset. Welfare schemes, including high social security pensions, are still strongly in place. But after a decade in office, fatigue is also visible. The United Democratic Front (UDF) has been pushing an anti-incumbency narrative claiming that governance has become slow and debt has increased over the last 10 years. 2. Development: Promise versus pushbackThis time, big infrastructure is a major election issue for Kerala. The controversial Silverline project has been shut down and replaced with a softer alternative, which has left mixed signals. While the LDF talks of development, the UDF, with leaders like VD Satheesan and Shashi Tharoor, is exploiting concerns over land and execution.

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3. Increasing influence of BJPThis time, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is no longer just a marginal player. Suresh Gopi’s Lok Sabha victory and the recent Thiruvananthapuram Corporation victory have given momentum to the party. It may not win many seats, but it may cut into votes and turn the contest into a triangular contest.

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4. Jobs and ‘brain drain’Young voters are looking beyond ideology. With many people leaving Kerala for jobs abroad, employment has become a major issue. UDF has tried to take advantage of this by giving prominence to employment, entrepreneurship and investment in its campaign. Particularly for first-time voters, ideological loyalty is weaker than economic aspirations, making it an important swing factor.

Kerala Election SWOT

5. Community equationElections in Kerala are often decided by small changes in key communities. In the state, the arithmetic of various factions of the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) and the Kerala Congress (representing the Christian heartland) usually decides the winner.The LDF has made a significant dent in the Christian vote bank through its alliance with the Kerala Congress (M). However, the UDF is fighting to reclaim the region by highlighting Centre-State tensions and concerns of the “secular fabric”.Issues ranging from the Waqf Board debate to international conflicts including the ongoing tensions in the Middle East often resonate deeply in local booths in Kerala, forcing all three fronts to tread carefully on communal and religious sentiments. Apart from this, issues like entry of women in Sabarimala temple have also been gaining political momentum. Additionally, controversies such as gold smuggling and related allegations have been used by the opposition to question the government’s credibility and governance record. While the LDF has pushed back strongly, these issues add another layer to voter sentiment.This phase of elections in Kerala may be in trouble. Will Vijayan create history or will UDF make a comeback? Will BJP make a dent this time? Voters will take their decision tomorrow and we will know the decision on May 5.

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कौशांबी में युवती की मौत पर सियासत तेज, बसपा प्रदेश अध्यक्ष ने परिवार से मिलकर दिया न्याय का भरोसा

उत्तर प्रदेश के कौशांबी जिले में एक लड़की की संदिग्ध मौत का मामला अब राजनीतिक रंग ले चुका है. बुधवार को बसपा सुप्रीमो मायावती के निर्देश पर पार्टी के प्रदेश अध्यक्ष विश्वनाथ पाल पीड़ित परिवार से मिलने पहुंचे. उन्होंने परिजनों को ढांढस बंधाया और न्याय का भरोसा दिलाया. इस दौरान उन्होंने राज्य की कानून-व्यवस्था पर सवाल उठाए और इसे ”जंगलराज” बताया. घटना के बाद इलाके में तनाव का माहौल है और पुलिस भी मामले की गंभीरता से जांच कर रही है.

परिजनों से मिलकर सांत्वना दी
बसपा प्रदेश अध्यक्ष विश्वनाथ पाल कौशांबी के पवैया गांव पहुंचे, जहां उन्होंने मृतक हिरनी पाल के परिवार से मुलाकात की. उन्होंने परिवार का दुख साझा किया और कहा कि पार्टी हर कदम पर उनके साथ खड़ी है. उन्होंने आश्वासन दिया कि दोषियों को कड़ी सजा दिलाने के लिए हरसंभव प्रयास किये जायेंगे.

घटना की पूरी कहानी
यह घटना चार दिन पहले चरवा थाना क्षेत्र के सनई गांव की है, जहां हिरनी पाल का शव पेड़ से लटका मिला था. इस घटना के बाद परिजनों ने हत्या की आशंका जताई और पड़ोसी बब्लू यादव समेत तीन लोगों पर आरोप लगाया. इस घटना से पूरा इलाका दहल गया।

पुलिस जांच एवं कार्यवाही
पोस्टमार्टम रिपोर्ट में मौत का कारण हैंगिंग बताया गया है। इसके आधार पर पुलिस ने मुख्य आरोपी बब्लू यादव को गिरफ्तार कर आत्महत्या के लिए उकसाने के आरोप में जेल भेज दिया है. वहीं, अन्य आरोपियों की तलाश जारी है और पुलिस ने उनकी गिरफ्तारी पर 5-5 हजार रुपये का इनाम घोषित किया है.

कानून व्यवस्था पर उठाए सवाल
इस पूरे मामले को लेकर बसपा नेताओं ने राज्य सरकार पर निशाना साधा है. उन्होंने कहा कि ऐसी घटनाएं कानून-व्यवस्था पर गंभीर सवाल खड़े करती हैं. वहीं पुलिस का कहना है कि मामले की निष्पक्षता से जांच की जा रही है और जल्द ही सभी आरोपियों को गिरफ्तार कर लिया जाएगा.

(रिपोर्ट: राम किशन, कौशांबी)

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IPL 2026: Ajinkya Rahane defends batting approach amid growing criticism of KKR

Amid growing criticism over his batting approach, Kolkata Knight Riders captain Ajinkya Rahane has defended his intentions, insisting that he has always been a smooth and aggressive player. He emphasized that his development in T20 cricket has been the result of years of deliberate effort and adaptation.

The comments come at a time when KKR’s team combination and Rahane’s strike rate have come under scrutiny at the start of the ongoing Indian Premier League season.

Rahane said, “I have always been an instinctive player, an attacking player. But in the franchises I played for earlier, my role was different. It has always been about the team for me and how I can contribute. Whatever the management asked at that time was about fulfilling that role to the best of my ability.”

Rahane’s comments follow KKR had a mixed start to the season with modest scores in the first three matchesEven though the debate continues regarding his role at the top of the order and the use of power-hitters in the team. Despite leading the team in runs last season, the veteran has faced fresh questions over his strike rate and team balance.

“Three-four years ago, I sat down and thought how can I move forward from here and update my batting. I started working on a few different shots. It took me one to one-and-a-half years to develop some of them. I just kept practicing and at times got hit on my chest and stomach. When you have the passion to improve, you automatically strive to get better. The last few years have been really good for me in this format, and I really Enjoying my cricket.”

Leadership, team balance and expectations

Rahane, who is leading KKR despite finishing eighth last seasonAcknowledged the expectations associated with representing a franchise supported by passionate supporters in Kolkata. He also reflected on the responsibility of leadership and the importance of contributing to the team’s success.

“It has been really amazing to captain KKR. I am grateful for the opportunity to lead this franchise. The passion for cricket in Kolkata is incredible. Whenever you play at Eden Gardens, the fans are passionate, and I understand that they love the game and are extremely passionate about the team. Winning the championship is always the goal,” he said.

He credited team co-owner Shah Rukh Khan for his continued support, especially during challenging phases, adding that the team is focused on delivering a strong campaign for its fans. KKR will next face Lucknow Supergiants on April 9 at the Eden Gardens.

ipl 2026 | ipl schedule | ipl points table | ipl video | cricket news | live score

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Published on:

April 8, 2026 17:11 IST

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Artemis II: Carol Taylor Wiseman and a crater-shaped hole called Love

Artemis II: Carol Taylor Wiseman and a crater-shaped hole called Love
In a poignant parallel to a fictional scene from ‘First Man’, Canadian astronaut Jeremy Hansen requests a lunar crater be named ‘Carol’ after mission commander Reed Wiseman’s late wife.

There’s a moment at the end of Damien Chazelle’s 2018 film first manWhen Neil Armstrong played with cool composure Ryan Gosling) standing alone on the moon. He takes out a small bracelet that belonged to his daughter Karen, who died at the age of two, and drops it in a pit. It is a fictional scene, debated for its historical accuracy, but emotionally it is undeniable. It’s a moment that has likely drawn people to watch the film again and again, just to get to that final 20-minute sequence, aided by Justin Hurwitz’s unforgettable musical score, in which Gosling reaches the farthest reaches of mankind, as the first man to step on the moon, with his broken heart presumably finding some peace. That gesture of leaving the bracelet on the moon says what Armstrong doesn’t put into words in the film: Even at the furthest point a human being can reach, grief travels with you.

first person 1

If Armstrong’s imaginary work was about letting go, Wiseman’s real work was about holding on.

This week, reality, unexpectedly and almost impossibly, echoed that fantasy. During the historic Artemis II mission, when astronauts flew farther from Earth than any humans had before, they stopped. Not for technical investigation. Not for scientific observation. But for the sake of memory. In that vast silence between Earth and the Moon, his Canadian partner, Jeremy Hansen, requested that a small, unnamed lunar crater be called “Carol” in honor of Carol Taylor Wiseman, the late wife of mission commander Reed Wiseman. There were not a single tear in Orion’s eyes, or in the command center, and now possibly in the entire world. Even though the crater was small, there was no sign. Even at the farthest point of space exploration and on the darkest side of the Moon, love endured. Kindness won.

Watch

Trump’s call with Artemis II crew remained silent for a full minute, awkward moment goes viral

Carol Taylor Wiseman died in 2020 after a long battle with cancer, leaving behind her husband and their two daughters. It’s easy to get distracted by the scale of the moment. Artemis II is a milestone. Returning to deep space after more than half a century, a mission that broke the distance record set during Apollo 13. But what’s imprinted on people’s minds (and hearts) isn’t the distance traveled, or even the images of the far side of the moon — it’s that brief, delicate human interruption: the name of a loved one spoken into the void.After all, a crater is simply an absence – a crater made by impact. Naming it after someone you love is an act of filling that void with meaning. Here, there was a similar trend between real and imaginary gestures. Love.In first manArmstrong’s gesture is solitary. The moon becomes a private mourning site, a place where grief can finally be quietly soothed. This is cinema’s way of making interiority visible. What happened on Artemis II was something else. It was communal. The suggestion to name the crater in memory of his wife came not from Wiseman, but from his Canadian colleague Jeremy Hansen. He was the same person who spoke to Mission Control about a lost “loved one” before proposing the name. The moment reportedly brought tears to the crew’s eyes; They embraced, in zero gravity, a floating lump of shared emotions.If Armstrong’s imaginary work was about letting go, Wiseman’s real work was about holding on. The distinction matters because cinema often imagines grief as something that seeks closure: a final act, a symbolic release. But there is rarely a solution to sorrow in life. It is taken forward, reinterpreted, adapted to new contexts. It becomes a part of yourself that continues.

NASA shares iPhone 17 image of Artemis II commander Reed Wiseman

Commander Reed Wiseman looks out the window of the Orion. His partner Jeremy Hansen named a crater on the Moon in honor of Reed’s late wife Carol Wiseman, PC: Flickr

Love equal to the size of the universe

There’s something almost confusing about contrast. On the one hand, the Artemis II crew was engaged in one of humanity’s most advanced technological achievements – navigating a spacecraft at distances of hundreds of thousands of miles, working within the cold precision of orbital mechanics. On the other hand, in the midst of it all, they were doing something ancient and deeply human: remembering someone they loved.Carroll Taylor Wiseman was not a public figure in the traditional sense. She was a nurse who spent her life caring for others. He died at the age of 46. In the logic of history or science, there is no reason for his name to exist on the Moon. And yet, it happens.Space exploration, despite all its talk of progress, has always been linked to the personal lives of those involved in it. The Apollo missions were full of quiet personal rituals: photos strapped to suits, small tokens carried over impossible distances. even NASA Acknowledge that astronauts often bring souvenirs, because they want to remind people that they are not just representatives of humanity, but individuals with attachments.The size of this crater indicated to the Artemis II crew that these attachments were not incidental to the mission. They are what make the mission worthwhile. As someone said on social media: “No matter how far we travel, the people we love stay with us.”

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UAE becomes world’s first ’10 Giga’ nation, launches ultra-fast U6GHz internet network. world News

UAE becomes world's first '10 Giga' nation, launches ultra-fast U6GHz internet network
UAE launches world’s first ultra-fast U6GHz internet network/Representative image

The United Arab Emirates has taken a major step forward in internet technology by launching the world’s first commercial upper 6GHz (U6GHz) network. The announcement was made during the SAMENA Council Leaders Summit 2026 led by the Telecommunications and Digital Government Regulatory Authority (TDRA).Simply put, this new network is designed to make Internet connections faster, smoother, and more reliable, especially as more people use data-heavy apps and services.

What is U6GHz?

The U6GHz band, which operates between 6425–7125 MHz, is often called the “golden spectrum” because it provides both strong coverage and high speeds. It sits in a range that can handle large amounts of data without slowing down.With this network, users can see speeds of up to 10Gbps for download and 1Gbps for upload under the advanced 5G technology. This means faster downloads, easier streaming, and better performance for apps that rely on real-time data, including apps powered by artificial intelligence.The new system is also expected to play a role in future 6G technology, making it a significant step forward rather than just a short-term upgrade.

why it matters

As more services go online and technologies like AI advance, the demand for faster and more stable internet is increasing. The U6GHz network is meant to handle this demand, providing low-latency and high-speed connectivity for both everyday use and advanced digital applications.The rollout is supported by global technology companies such as Huawei, Nokia and GSMA, as well as UAE telecom operators du and eend.There has been progress in development in the last few years. U6GHz spectrum was allocated for mobile services in 2024, followed by field trials in 2025, achieving speeds of up to 10Gbps. In 2026, the network has now gone into commercial deployment.

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Assam Elections 2026: 5 big factors that can turn the situation around. india news

Assam Elections 2026: 5 big factors that can change the results

New Delhi: Assam is all set to vote for 126 assembly seats on Thursday (April 9). This contest has emerged as a direct fight between the Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma and Gaurav Gogoi-led Congress in the state. Sarma is aiming for a third consecutive victory for the BJP-led alliance, while the Gaurav Gogoi-led Congress is attempting to regroup and convert anti-incumbency unrest into its electoral advantage.In the 126-member Assembly, where 64 seats mark the majority line, the outcome is likely to be determined not by a single wave, but by a host of issues in the state.See complete coverage of Assembly Elections 2026Here are the top 5 factors that could influence the decision on May 4 in Assam:1. Delimitation Domino EffectThis time the assembly election is the first after the 2023 delimitation which has redrawn the constituency boundaries based on the 2001 census. The delimitation process has reshaped constituencies and reduced minority-dominated seats from about 35 to 23. This shift has strengthened indigenous and tribal influence, benefiting the BJP, which is relying on identity politics, welfare schemes and governance delivery. In areas like Barak Valley, mergers and reclassification of constituencies have forced political stalwarts to shift ground, destabilizing long-standing vote-bank calculations that traditionally favored the Congress and the All India United Democratic Front. So, this election is not being fought on the old map, and that alone changes the arithmetic.

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2. ‘Infiltration’ storyOn top of this there is the debate over the permanent identity of Assam, which has now been rescheduled for 2026. The twin issues of the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) and the National Register of Citizens (NRC) remain central, though no longer in the form of mass protests. Instead, they have become absorbed in competing political narratives. The BJP has framed its position as a defense of indigenous identity and land, heightened by controversial eviction drives in districts such as Darrang and Nagaon. On the other hand, the opposition has accused the government of weaponizing these issues for polarization. 3. ‘Orunodoi’ Economy BJP’s ‘double engine’ governance relies heavily on Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT).Fighting against anti-incumbency, Himanta Sarma’s election strategy largely hinges on welfare delivery, especially this time through his flagship Orunodoi scheme. With over 26 lakh women beneficiaries receiving monthly financial assistance, the scheme has helped build a loyal base of what the party calls ‘Shramarthi’ voters. Initiatives like Atmanirbhar Assam have further strengthened this reach. On the other hand, the Congress and the ruling parties are focusing on the “cost” of these schemes, pointing to the state’s rising debt and “paper leak” scams in recruitment as evidence that welfare is being used to hide the lack of sustainable job creation.4. Tribal and tea garden swingBeyond the statewide narrative are decisive swing areas. Tea tribes, spread across about 35 to 40 constituencies, remain one of the most influential but fluid voter groups. Both sides have invested heavily in outreach here, but there is no guarantee of uniform consolidation. Similarly, after delimitation the political importance of Bodoland Territorial Area has increased and its seats have increased from 11 to 15. The BJP’s alliance with the United People’s Party Liberal (UPPL) is being projected as a sign of stability coupled with the peace deal with the Bodo groups. Still, as in past elections, changes in these areas could swing many seats in one direction. 5. Fragmented oppositionThe arithmetic of “anti-BJP” votes will be the final decision. At present, the anti-BJP space is divided between the Congress, AIUDF, Raijor Dal and Assam Jatiya Parishad. Whether this will ultimately benefit Assam remains to be seen. Vote fragmentation had worked in the BJP’s favor in 2021 when the ruling alliance secured 75 seats. For Gaurav Gogoi, the election is as much about leadership as it is about arithmetic and about presenting a united Congress front at a time when many party leaders had defected to the BJP ahead of the elections. For Himanta Biswa Sarma, the strategy is to keep the opposition divided while consolidating gains in all areas.As Assam goes to the polls tomorrow, this election can in many ways be seen as a referendum on whether the BJP’s mix of identity politics, welfare expansion and strong leadership has become the state’s dominant political model, or whether there is room for a revival of opposition-led politics. Assam will decide tomorrow what matters most to it. We will know the decision on May 4.

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